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Aragua vs Caracas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Rab, 14 Okt 2026
VS
08.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aragua have averaged 1.18 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Caracas's 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Aragua slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24 Jun 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Aragua. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Aragua
6%
Seri
4%
Caracas
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Aragua

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Caracas haven't matched Aragua's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aragua a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Aragua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aragua, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 74.2%
Aragua Tanpa Kebobolan 19%
Caracas Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Aragua Caracas
Main 28 29
Menang 11 10
Seri 10 11
Kalah 7 8
Gol Masuk 1.18 1.38
Gol Kemasukan 0.82 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

24 Jun 2026 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Aragua
1:1
25 Jun 2025 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Aragua
4:0
18 Jun 2025 Copa Venezuela
Aragua vs Caracas
2:1
18 Sep 2022 Liga FUTVE
Aragua vs Caracas
4:2
26 Feb 2022 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Aragua
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Aragua 85 / 100
Caracas 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Aragua Caracas

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Aragua Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aragua went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aragua scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Caracas conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Tren Skor

Aragua VS Caracas
1.88 Gol Dicetak 1.38
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.88
88% Atas 1.5 63%
50% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
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Caracas

(Away)
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Atletico Barinas 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Atletico El Vigia 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
4 Real Frontera 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Yaracuyanos 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Aragua 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Barquisimeto 4 1 0 3 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Urena 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
3 Lara 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Trujillanos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Mineros 4 2 1 1 12:2 7
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
4 Bolivar 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams