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Bugesera vs Etincelles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
01.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Bugesera host Etincelles in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Etincelles have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Bugesera have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Bugesera slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4 Apr 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Bugesera. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

13%
Bugesera
17%
Seri
70%
Etincelles
Proyeksi hasil seri: 17% Unggulan: Etincelles

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

88% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Bugesera lately — more wins on the board than Etincelles.
  • Win probability leans Etincelles's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Bugesera have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 67.8%
Bugesera Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Etincelles Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Bugesera Etincelles
Main 31 37
Menang 13 11
Seri 4 13
Kalah 14 13
Gol Masuk 1.1 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

4 Apr 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs Etincelles
3:0
18 Mar 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs Bugesera
2:0
11 Mar 2026 Peace Cup
Bugesera vs Etincelles
1:0
11 Jan 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Bugesera
1:2
24 Mei 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Bugesera
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Bugesera 15 / 100
Etincelles 65 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Bugesera Etincelles

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Etincelles Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Bugesera scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Etincelles conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bugesera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Bugesera VS Etincelles
0.63 Gol Dicetak 1.75
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 2.25
63% Atas 1.5 88%
38% Atas 2.5 88%
25% Atas 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
Page 1 of 7

Etincelles

(Away)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)