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Caerphilly vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Jum, 9 Okt 2026
VS
06.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Caerphilly host Newport City in the Cymru South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Newport City have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Caerphilly have conceded 2.21 and scored 1.21. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Newport City. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Caerphilly
30%
Seri
34%
Newport City
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Caerphilly

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Newport City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caerphilly's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
Caerphilly Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Newport City Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Caerphilly Newport City
Main 14 30
Menang 3 8
Seri 2 7
Kalah 9 15
Gol Masuk 1.21 1.17
Gol Kemasukan 2.21 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Caerphilly 36 / 100
Newport City 33 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Caerphilly Newport City

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Newport City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Caerphilly scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Recent resilience: Caerphilly stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Newport City's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tren Skor

Caerphilly VS Newport City
1 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.38
75% Atas 1.5 50%
75% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerphilly

(Home)
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
Page 1 of 3

Newport City

(Away)
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
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