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Central Esp. vs Danubio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Kam, 15 Okt 2026
VS
07.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. This one's hard to separate. Central Esp. have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Danubio's 0.71 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Central Esp. slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12 Apr 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Central Esp.. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

18%
Central Esp.
22%
Seri
60%
Danubio
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Danubio

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Central Esp. lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
  • Model gives Danubio a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Central Esp. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Central Esp., who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.4%
Central Esp. Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Danubio Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Central Esp. Danubio
Main 28 28
Menang 9 3
Seri 8 13
Kalah 11 12
Gol Masuk 1.18 0.71
Gol Kemasukan 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

12 Apr 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Danubio
2:2
15 Sep 2021 Segunda Division
Danubio vs Central Esp.
1:1
2 Jun 2021 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Danubio
0:0
4 Mei 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Central Esp.
0:2
10 Nov 2012 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Danubio
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Central Esp. 20 / 100
Danubio 56 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Central Esp. Danubio

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Danubio Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Danubio has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Central Esp. scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Central Esp. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Central Esp. VS Danubio
1.38 Gol Dicetak 0.63
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
88% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Central Esp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4
Montevideo City
17 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
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Danubio

(Away)
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado -
Albion -
Boston River -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. -
Danubio -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional -
Rentistas -
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -