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Club Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Morelos, Morelia
Jum, 13 Nov 2026
VS
02.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Club Atletico Morelia at 1.5 goals for, 1.32 against; Leones Negros at 1.7 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Leones Negros slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20 Sep 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back Club Atletico Morelia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Club Atletico Morelia
44%
Seri
20%
Leones Negros
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Club Atletico Morelia lately — more wins on the board than Leones Negros.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Club Atletico Morelia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club Atletico Morelia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 100%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Club Atletico Morelia Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Leones Negros Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Club Atletico Morelia Leones Negros
Main 28 27
Menang 13 11
Seri 4 7
Kalah 11 9
Gol Masuk 1.5 1.7
Gol Kemasukan 1.32 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20 Sep 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros
2:0
5 Apr 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Club Atletico Morelia
2:0
26 Okt 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros
2:3
11 Mei 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Club Atletico Morelia
2:0
4 Mei 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros
2:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Club Atletico Morelia 35 / 100
Leones Negros 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Club Atletico Morelia Leones Negros

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Leones Negros Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Leones Negros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Club Atletico Morelia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Club Atletico Morelia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Club Atletico Morelia VS Leones Negros
1.38 Gol Dicetak 2.13
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
100% Atas 1.5 100%
63% Atas 2.5 63%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Atletico Morelia

(Home)
08 Nov
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 1
Venados FC
04 Nov
Venados FC
1 : 2
Club Atletico Morelia
01 Nov
Alacranes de Durango
3 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
25 Oct
Tapatio
1 : 2
Club Atletico Morelia
18 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 2
Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 6

Leones Negros

(Away)
08 Nov
Leones Negros
2 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
06 Nov
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 0
Leones Negros
01 Nov
Leones Negros
3 : 1
Tepatitlan de Morelos
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2
Leones Negros
18 Oct
Leones Negros
1 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz 4
Tlaxcala 3
Piratas 2
Cancun 2
Leones Negros 2
Alacranes de Durango 2
Club Atletico Morelia 4
Venados FC 2
Semi-finals
Atletico La Paz -
Piratas -
Leones Negros -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Final
TBD -
TBD -