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Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Defensor Sp. host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. CA Cerro have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Defensor Sp. have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to CA Cerro's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 3 Agu 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward CA Cerro. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Defensor Sp.
30%
Seri
34%
CA Cerro
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Defensor Sp.

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Defensor Sp. haven't matched CA Cerro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Defensor Sp.'s way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.4%
Defensor Sp. Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
CA Cerro Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Defensor Sp. CA Cerro
Main 30 28
Menang 6 9
Seri 11 5
Kalah 13 14
Gol Masuk 0.83 0.82
Gol Kemasukan 1.23 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

3 Agu 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro
2:1
5 Apr 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Defensor Sp.
1:0
11 Okt 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Defensor Sp.
1:0
22 Jun 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro
2:1
14 Apr 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs CA Cerro
3:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 36 / 100
CA Cerro 33 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Defensor Sp. CA Cerro

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CA Cerro let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CA Cerro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Defensor Sp. VS CA Cerro
1 Gol Dicetak 1
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
63% Atas 1.5 75%
25% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
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CA Cerro

(Away)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3
CA Cerro
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 8 6 1 1 19:8 19
3 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
4 Penarol 8 5 2 1 14:6 16
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
14 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)