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Derby vs Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

Championship Pride Park, Derby
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

2' Event
Opoku J.
Assist: Eom Ji-Sung
24'
Sub
Opoku J. Masuk: Yeo M. K.
Keluar: Opoku J.
44' Event
Eom Ji-Sung

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Championship game between Derby and Swansea finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

13%
Derby
17%
Seri
70%
Swansea
Proyeksi hasil seri: 17% Unggulan: Swansea

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

88% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Swansea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Swansea's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 85%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 75%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 22%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 32.8%
Derby Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Swansea Tanpa Kebobolan 68%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Derby Swansea
Main 29 29
Menang 7 13
Seri 5 6
Kalah 17 10
Gol Masuk 1.1 1.34
Gol Kemasukan 1.72 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

29 Agu 2026 Championship
Derby vs Swansea
0:3
14 Feb 2026 Championship
Derby vs Swansea
2:0
25 Nov 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Derby
1:2
5 Apr 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Derby
1:0
27 Nov 2024 Championship
Derby vs Swansea
1:2

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Derby Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.87
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.56

Swansea Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Opoku J.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Eom Ji-Sung
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.59
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.97

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Derby 14 / 100
Swansea 77 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Derby Swansea

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Swansea Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Derby found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Swansea has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Swansea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Derby VS Swansea
0.75 Gol Dicetak 1.63
1.88 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
75% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 75%
25% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby

(Home)
03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4
Norwich
31 Oct
Millwall
4 : 1
Derby
24 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1
Derby
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1
Stoke City
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
03 Nov
Portsmouth
3 : 1
Swansea
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0
Blackburn
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)