Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Esteli vs Alianza FC

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Independencia, Estelí
Rab, 12 Agu 2026
VS
02.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Esteli have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Alianza FC's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 0.94) back Esteli to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Esteli
28%
Seri
22%
Alianza FC
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Esteli

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esteli a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Esteli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.6%
Esteli Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Alianza FC Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Esteli Alianza FC
Main 28 31
Menang 17 16
Seri 7 6
Kalah 4 9
Gol Masuk 1.5 1.25
Gol Kemasukan 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Esteli 49 / 100
Alianza FC 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Esteli Alianza FC

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama EST Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Esteli scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Esteli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alianza FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Alianza FC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Esteli VS Alianza FC
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1.25
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1
63% Atas 1.5 63%
38% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
26 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Matagalpa
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen11004:23
2Xelaju00000:00
3Alajuelense00000:00
4Luis Angel Firpo00000:00
5Plaza Amador10012:40
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano00000:00
2Marathon00000:00
3Alianza FC00000:00
4Esteli00000:00
5Antigua00000:00
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia11002:03
2Saprissa00000:00
3Alianza00000:00
4UMECIT00000:00
5Deportivo Mixco10010:20
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua11005:03
2Municipal00000:00
3Cartagines00000:00
4FAS00000:00
5Verdes10010:50
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)