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Tigres UANL vs Toluca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
03.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Tigres UANL host Toluca in the Liga MX. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tigres UANL have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Toluca's 1.89 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Tigres UANL have won 2 to Toluca's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 31 Mei 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.56) point toward Toluca. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Tigres UANL
44%
Seri
20%
Toluca
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Tigres UANL haven't matched Toluca's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73%
Tigres UANL Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Toluca Tanpa Kebobolan 20%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Tigres UANL Toluca
Main 33 36
Menang 14 18
Seri 8 6
Kalah 11 12
Gol Masuk 1.48 1.89
Gol Kemasukan 1.12 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.56
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

31 Mei 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
2:1
18 Jan 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
0:0
15 Des 2025 Liga MX
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
3:1
12 Des 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Toluca
1:0
27 Jul 2025 Liga MX
Toluca vs Tigres UANL
3:4

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Tigres UANL 35 / 100
Toluca 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Tigres UANL Toluca

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Toluca Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Tigres UANL's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Toluca let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tigres UANL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Tigres UANL VS Toluca
0.63 Gol Dicetak 2.5
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 0.5
50% Atas 1.5 88%
13% Atas 2.5 50%
0% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
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Toluca

(Away)
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)