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Ethiopia vs Senegal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

11' Event
Mbaye I.
Assist: Jackson N.
19'
Gueye P.
46'
Sub
Yalew A. Masuk: Belay B.
Keluar: Yalew A.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Ethiopia
33%
Seri
40%
Senegal
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Senegal

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Ethiopia haven't matched Senegal's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Senegal taking it.
  • Senegal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 64.2%
Ethiopia Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Senegal Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Ethiopia Senegal
Main 29 45
Menang 10 27
Seri 5 9
Kalah 14 9
Gol Masuk 1.07 1.91
Gol Kemasukan 1.24 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.84
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

29 Sep 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Ethiopia vs Senegal
0:1
18 Nov 1965 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal vs Ethiopia
5:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Ethiopia Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.81
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.53

Senegal Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Mbaye I.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.76
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.47

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Ethiopia 28 / 100
Senegal 39 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Ethiopia Senegal

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Senegal Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ethiopia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ethiopia scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Senegal let in goals in 38% of their last 45 matches.

Tren Skor

Ethiopia VS Senegal
0.86 Gol Dicetak 1.25
0.43 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
29% Atas 1.5 63%
14% Atas 2.5 50%
0% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia

(Home)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6

Senegal

(Away)
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)