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Gabon vs Lesotho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon Logo

Gabon

Rab, 11 Nov 2026
VS
05.00 PM
Lesotho Logo

Lesotho

Tips Kami
Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Lesotho have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Gabon have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Gabon slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15 Okt 2024, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Gabon to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Gabon
28%
Seri
22%
Lesotho
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Gabon

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Gabon come out ahead of Lesotho on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gabon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Gabon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 66.2%
Gabon Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Lesotho Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Gabon Lesotho
Main 28 30
Menang 12 7
Seri 4 7
Kalah 12 16
Gol Masuk 1.5 0.63
Gol Kemasukan 1.54 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

15 Okt 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Gabon
0:2
11 Okt 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Lesotho
0:0
19 Nov 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Lesotho
4:2
10 Sep 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Lesotho vs Gabon
1:1
7 Sep 2008 World Championship
Lesotho vs Gabon
0:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Gabon 49 / 100
Lesotho 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Gabon Lesotho

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Gabon Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Gabon's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lesotho conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Lesotho registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Gabon VS Lesotho
1.38 Gol Dicetak 0.63
2 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
75% Atas 1.5 50%
63% Atas 2.5 38%
63% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon

(Home)
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6

Lesotho

(Away)
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
29 Mar
Lesotho
2 : 1
Seychelles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)