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Gremio vs Bahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Serie A Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Kam, 19 Nov 2026
VS
12.30 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Gremio host Bahia in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bahia have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Gremio have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor Bahia slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17 Mei 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back Bahia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

70%
Gremio
17%
Seri
13%
Bahia
Proyeksi hasil seri: 17% Unggulan: Gremio

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

88% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Gremio have managed 1.22 goals a game lately — Bahia are scoring more at 1.48.
  • Win probability leans Gremio's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Gremio Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Bahia Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Gremio Bahia
Main 32 29
Menang 10 10
Seri 10 9
Kalah 12 10
Gol Masuk 1.22 1.48
Gol Kemasukan 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

17 Mei 2026 Serie A
Bahia vs Gremio
1:1
19 Okt 2025 Serie A
Bahia vs Gremio
4:0
25 Mei 2025 Serie A
Gremio vs Bahia
1:0
17 Agu 2024 Serie A
Gremio vs Bahia
0:2
28 Apr 2024 Serie A
Bahia vs Gremio
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Gremio 67 / 100
Bahia 14 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Gremio Bahia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Gremio Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Bahia conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gremio scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gremio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Gremio VS Bahia
1.25 Gol Dicetak 1.25
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
75% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio

(Home)
07 Nov
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Gremio
04 Nov
Flamengo RJ
3 : 1
Gremio
01 Nov
Gremio
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0
Athletico-PR
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1
Gremio
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Bahia

(Away)
06 Nov
Cruzeiro
3 : 2
Bahia
29 Oct
Bahia
3 : 2
Sao Paulo
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1
Bahia
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0
Mirassol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)