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Stadium Background

Heerenveen vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belanda Belanda

Eredivisie Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Jum, 16 Okt 2026
VS
06.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Heerenveen host Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Heerenveen at 2.07 goals for, 1.78 against; Excelsior at 2.03 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Heerenveen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7 Mar 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.94) back Heerenveen to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Heerenveen
39%
Seri
31%
Excelsior
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Excelsior have managed 2.03 goals a game lately — Heerenveen are scoring more at 2.07.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 77.4%
Heerenveen Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Excelsior Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Heerenveen Excelsior
Main 27 29
Menang 13 13
Seri 6 8
Kalah 8 8
Gol Masuk 2.07 2.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.78 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

7 Mar 2026 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
1:2
4 Okt 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
2:1
19 Jan 2024 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Heerenveen
3:0
23 Sep 2023 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
0:3
13 Mei 2023 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Excelsior
0:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Heerenveen 29 / 100
Excelsior 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Heerenveen Excelsior

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Heerenveen Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Heerenveen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Excelsior has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Heerenveen VS Excelsior
1.25 Gol Dicetak 2.5
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
63% Atas 1.5 100%
50% Atas 2.5 100%
50% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)