Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa Santa Catarina
Sab, 24 Okt 2026
VS
09.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hercilio Luz have averaged 1.83 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Blumenau's 1.63 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Hercilio Luz slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12 Jul 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Hercilio Luz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Hercilio Luz
28%
Seri
22%
Blumenau
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Hercilio Luz

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Blumenau.
  • Model gives Hercilio Luz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Blumenau, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hercilio Luz have taken 3 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 67.4%
Hercilio Luz Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Blumenau Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Hercilio Luz Blumenau
Main 29 30
Menang 18 12
Seri 4 7
Kalah 7 11
Gol Masuk 1.83 1.63
Gol Kemasukan 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

12 Jul 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz
0:2
13 Mei 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau
0:1
27 Okt 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz
0:4
16 Sep 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau
5:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Hercilio Luz 49 / 100
Blumenau 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Hercilio Luz Blumenau

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Hercilio Luz Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Hercilio Luz scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Blumenau conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Hercilio Luz VS Blumenau
2 Gol Dicetak 0.88
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
75% Atas 1.5 63%
63% Atas 2.5 25%
38% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercilio Luz

(Home)
17 Oct
Hercilio Luz
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
10 Oct
Figueirense
1 : 0
Hercilio Luz
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1
Nacao
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
18 Oct
Nacao
0 : 1
Blumenau
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Hercilio Luz 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
4 Marcilio Dias 7 3 3 1 17:11 12
5 CA Metropolitano 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
6 Santa Catarina 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
7 Blumenau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
8 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 0 4 2 10:13 4
9 Nacao 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)