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Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
Jum, 23 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 PM
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

Istiqlol Dushanbe host Homs Al Fidaa in the AFC Challenge League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Istiqlol Dushanbe have averaged 1.96 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Homs Al Fidaa's 1.89 scored and 0.43 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Homs Al Fidaa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
33%
Seri
40%
Homs Al Fidaa
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Homs Al Fidaa

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Istiqlol Dushanbe haven't matched Homs Al Fidaa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Homs Al Fidaa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 13%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 65.4%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Homs Al Fidaa Tanpa Kebobolan 20%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Istiqlol Dushanbe Homs Al Fidaa
Main 27 28
Menang 17 20
Seri 5 6
Kalah 5 2
Gol Masuk 1.96 1.89
Gol Kemasukan 0.7 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Istiqlol Dushanbe 28 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 40 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Istiqlol Dushanbe Homs Al Fidaa

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Istiqlol Dushanbe's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Istiqlol Dushanbe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Homs Al Fidaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Tren Skor

Istiqlol Dushanbe VS Homs Al Fidaa
1.13 Gol Dicetak 1.63
0.38 Gol Kebobolan 0.25
25% Atas 1.5 50%
25% Atas 2.5 38%
13% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Home)
17 Oct
Nejmeh SC
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6

Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
17 Oct
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ahal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Paro 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Homs Al Fidaa 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Istiqlol Dushanbe 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Regar-TadAZ 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 FC Goa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Fortis 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borneo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Yangon United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Shan United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Hang Yuen 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Kasuka 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)