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Stadium Background

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
12.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Istiqlol Dushanbe host Vakhsh in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Istiqlol Dushanbe at 2.29 goals for, 0.84 against; Vakhsh at 1.45 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Istiqlol Dushanbe slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3 Mei 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.13, favoring Istiqlol Dushanbe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
28%
Seri
22%
Vakhsh
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Istiqlol Dushanbe

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Vakhsh haven't matched Istiqlol Dushanbe's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Istiqlol Dushanbe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.4%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Vakhsh Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Istiqlol Dushanbe Vakhsh
Main 31 29
Menang 20 11
Seri 6 12
Kalah 5 6
Gol Masuk 2.29 1.45
Gol Kemasukan 0.84 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

3 Mei 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:2
8 Des 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
1:1
11 Mei 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
0:0
10 Agu 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1
13 Apr 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
3:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Istiqlol Dushanbe 49 / 100
Vakhsh 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Istiqlol Dushanbe Vakhsh

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Istiqlol Dushanbe scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Vakhsh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Istiqlol Dushanbe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Istiqlol Dushanbe VS Vakhsh
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1.63
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
50% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Home)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
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Vakhsh

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)