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Italy vs Belgium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadio Olimpico, Rome
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Acara Pertandingan

20' Event
Godts M.
Assist: De Bruyne K.
25'
Raskin N.
29'
Moreira D.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Belgium finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belgium.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Italy
20%
Seri
38%
Belgium
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Italy

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Italy come out ahead of Belgium on wins alone.
  • Model gives Italy a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
Italy Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Belgium Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Italy Belgium
Main 30 31
Menang 17 16
Seri 5 7
Kalah 8 8
Gol Masuk 1.83 2.42
Gol Kemasukan 1.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

25 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
0:2
14 Nov 2024 UEFA Nations League
Belgium vs Italy
0:1
10 Okt 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
2:2
10 Okt 2021 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Belgium
2:1
2 Jul 2021 Euro
Belgium vs Italy
1:2

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Italy Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.95
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.61

Belgium Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Godts M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Lukebakio D.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.71
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.04

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Italy 40 / 100
Belgium 37 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Italy Belgium

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Italy found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Belgium has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Italy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Italy VS Belgium
1.57 Gol Dicetak 2.75
1 Gol Kebobolan 0.88
71% Atas 1.5 88%
43% Atas 2.5 50%
29% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

Belgium

(Away)
05 Oct
France
4 : 1
Belgium
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Belgium
0 : 1
France
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)