Prediksi Olahraga

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Lagarto vs Guarany SE

Brasil Brasil

Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Rab, 5 Agu 2026
VS
11.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Governo (Sergipe). This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lagarto at 1.38 goals for, 1.88 against; Guarany SE at 0.25 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Lagarto slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21 Jan 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Lagarto to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

40%
Lagarto
33%
Seri
27%
Guarany SE
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Lagarto

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Lagarto lately — more wins on the board than Guarany SE.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lagarto taking it.
  • Lagarto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lagarto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 12.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.6%
Lagarto Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Guarany SE Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Lagarto Guarany SE
Main 32 28
Menang 12 11
Seri 10 7
Kalah 10 10
Gol Masuk 1.38 0.25
Gol Kemasukan 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

21 Jan 2026 Sergipano
Lagarto vs Guarany SE
2:0
18 Jan 2025 Sergipano
Lagarto vs Guarany SE
4:0
23 Feb 2019 Sergipano
Guarany SE vs Lagarto
2:2
2 Apr 2016 Sergipano
Guarany SE vs Lagarto
0:0
27 Mar 2016 Sergipano
Lagarto vs Guarany SE
1:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Lagarto 40 / 100
Guarany SE 27 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Lagarto Guarany SE

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama LAG Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Guarany SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lagarto scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Lagarto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Lagarto VS Guarany SE
1.38 Gol Dicetak 0.25
1.88 Gol Kebobolan 1
88% Atas 1.5 50%
63% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagarto

(Home)
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
27 Jun
CSA
2 : 0
Lagarto
21 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 1
CSA
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
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Guarany SE

(Away)
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
Falcon
3 : 0
Guarany SE
21 Feb
Confianca
1 : 0
Guarany SE
14 Feb
Itabaiana
1 : 1
Guarany SE
11 Feb
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Falcon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Desportiva Aracaju 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Lagarto 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Atletico Gloriense 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
5 Guarany SE 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
6 America de Propria 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)