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Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Sab, 7 Nov 2026
VS
11.15 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Lobos UPNFM host Motagua in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lobos UPNFM at 1.25 goals for, 1.5 against; Motagua at 1.59 for, 0.73 against. Past meetings favor Motagua slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 22 Agu 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Motagua. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Lobos UPNFM
39%
Seri
31%
Motagua
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Motagua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 12.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70.6%
Lobos UPNFM Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Motagua Tanpa Kebobolan 18%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Lobos UPNFM Motagua
Main 28 37
Menang 9 21
Seri 6 9
Kalah 13 7
Gol Masuk 1.25 1.59
Gol Kemasukan 1.5 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

22 Agu 2026 Liga Nacional
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
4:1
1 Mei 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua
2:1
11 Mar 2026 Liga Nacional
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
28 Nov 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua
0:0
14 Sep 2025 Liga Nacional
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM
3:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 31 / 100
Motagua 32 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Lobos UPNFM Motagua

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Lobos UPNFM Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lobos UPNFM scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Lobos UPNFM went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Motagua has conceded goals in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Tren Skor

Lobos UPNFM VS Motagua
1.38 Gol Dicetak 1.25
0.75 Gol Kebobolan 0.25
50% Atas 1.5 50%
25% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
31 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
4 : 3
Genesis FC
25 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 1
Olimpia
18 Oct
Atletico Independiente
0 : 4
Lobos UPNFM
11 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 0
Marathon
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

Motagua

(Away)
01 Nov
Motagua
2 : 0
Marathon
30 Oct
Alajuelense
2 : 1
Motagua
25 Oct
Motagua
2 : 0
Juticalpa
23 Oct
Motagua
0 : 0
Alajuelense
17 Oct
Platense
0 : 2
Motagua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 12 9 2 1 26:8 29
2 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
3 Motagua 12 8 1 3 19:9 25
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 12 3 7 2 15:12 16
6 Estrella 12 4 4 4 21:22 16
7 Lobos UPNFM 12 4 3 5 15:16 15
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 12 2 0 10 11:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)