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Mainz vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Bundesliga Mewa Arena, Mainz
Sab, 28 Nov 2026
VS
02.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Mainz host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Mainz at 2.74 goals for, 1.32 against; Union Berlin at 1.67 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Mainz have won 0 to Union Berlin's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on 10 Mei 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.19, favoring Mainz. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Mainz
40%
Seri
29%
Union Berlin
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Mainz lately — more wins on the board than Union Berlin.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.4%
Mainz Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Union Berlin Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mainz Union Berlin
Main 31 30
Menang 18 8
Seri 4 9
Kalah 9 13
Gol Masuk 2.74 1.67
Gol Kemasukan 1.32 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

10 Mei 2026 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Union Berlin
1:3
10 Jan 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Mainz
2:2
19 Jan 2025 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Mainz
2:1
24 Agu 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Union Berlin
1:1
7 Feb 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Union Berlin
1:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mainz 32 / 100
Union Berlin 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mainz Union Berlin

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mainz found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Union Berlin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mainz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Mainz VS Union Berlin
2.38 Gol Dicetak 0.5
1.88 Gol Kebobolan 2.5
88% Atas 1.5 63%
75% Atas 2.5 50%
63% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

(Home)
30 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 1
Mainz
27 Oct
Bochum
2 : 0
Mainz
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
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Union Berlin

(Away)
01 Nov
Union Berlin
1 : 1
1. FC Koln
27 Oct
1. FC Koln
5 : 0
Union Berlin
24 Oct
Augsburg
1 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)