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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
Sel, 27 Okt 2026
VS
05.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Mamelodi Sundowns go into this one as the clear favorite. Mamelodi Sundowns have averaged 1.94 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Marumo Gallants's 0.69 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19 Agu 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 0.79, favoring Mamelodi Sundowns. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Mamelodi Sundowns
6%
Seri
4%
Marumo Gallants
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Mamelodi Sundowns

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Mamelodi Sundowns lately — more wins on the board than Marumo Gallants.
  • Model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 27%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 12%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.4%
Mamelodi Sundowns Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Marumo Gallants Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants
Main 36 29
Menang 22 2
Seri 10 11
Kalah 4 16
Gol Masuk 1.94 0.69
Gol Kemasukan 1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.79
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

19 Agu 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
2:0
17 Mar 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
3:1
4 Okt 2025 Carling Knockout
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
0:1
17 Sep 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
19 Feb 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 85 / 100
Marumo Gallants 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mamelodi Sundowns's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marumo Gallants conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Mamelodi Sundowns went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tren Skor

Mamelodi Sundowns VS Marumo Gallants
2.25 Gol Dicetak 0.71
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 1.71
88% Atas 1.5 71%
50% Atas 2.5 43%
25% Atas 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
13 Oct
Richards Bay
1 : 4
Mamelodi Sundowns
10 Oct
Orlando Pirates
0 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 8

Marumo Gallants

(Away)
17 Oct
Sekhukhune
2 : 1
Marumo Gallants
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
12 Sept
AmaZulu
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
04 Sept
Marumo Gallants
2 : 2
Polokwane City
25 Aug
Marumo Gallants
2 : 3
TS Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Golden Arrows -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
Siwelele -
Kruger United -
AmaZulu -
Sekhukhune -
Richards Bay -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Marumo Gallants -
Orlando Pirates -
Milford -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TS Galaxy -
Durban City -
Stellenbosch FC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -