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Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Super Cup Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Pretoria
Min, 8 Nov 2026
VS
01.00 PM
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Super Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Mamelodi Sundowns at 2.04 goals for, 1.07 against; USM Alger at 1.24 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Mamelodi Sundowns have won 2 to USM Alger's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 11 Jan 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.63) back Mamelodi Sundowns to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

50%
Mamelodi Sundowns
28%
Seri
22%
USM Alger
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Mamelodi Sundowns

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Mamelodi Sundowns come out ahead of USM Alger on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mamelodi Sundowns taking it.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75%
Mamelodi Sundowns Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
USM Alger Tanpa Kebobolan 11%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mamelodi Sundowns USM Alger
Main 28 25
Menang 17 11
Seri 8 10
Kalah 3 4
Gol Masuk 2.04 1.24
Gol Kemasukan 1.07 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

11 Jan 2020 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger
2:1
28 Des 2019 CAF Champions League
USM Alger vs Mamelodi Sundowns
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 49 / 100
USM Alger 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mamelodi Sundowns USM Alger

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Mamelodi Sundowns found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Mamelodi Sundowns remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

USM Alger has conceded goals in 65% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tren Skor

Mamelodi Sundowns VS USM Alger
1.88 Gol Dicetak 0.75
0.5 Gol Kebobolan 0.63
63% Atas 1.5 25%
38% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
03 Nov
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 0
Golden Arrows
31 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
4 : 1
Durban City
27 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
23 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
Wiliete
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
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USM Alger

(Away)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mamelodi Sundowns -
USM Alger -