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Stadium Background

Mariehamn vs Ilves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
04.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Mariehamn host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Mariehamn have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Ilves's 1.73 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor Ilves slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9 Agu 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Ilves. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

22%
Mariehamn
28%
Seri
50%
Ilves
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Ilves

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Ilves have won more games recently than Mariehamn.
  • Model gives Ilves a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mariehamn Tanpa Kebobolan 19%
Ilves Tanpa Kebobolan 68%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mariehamn Ilves
Main 29 33
Menang 7 15
Seri 5 6
Kalah 17 12
Gol Masuk 1.03 1.73
Gol Kemasukan 1.69 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

9 Agu 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Mariehamn
2:0
18 Apr 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Ilves
2:2
14 Mar 2026 Club Friendly
Ilves vs Mariehamn
0:0
31 Agu 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Mariehamn
2:1
27 Apr 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Ilves
3:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mariehamn 24 / 100
Ilves 59 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mariehamn Ilves

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Ilves Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Ilves has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Mariehamn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mariehamn's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tren Skor

Mariehamn VS Ilves
1.38 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 63%
50% Atas 2.5 38%
13% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariehamn

(Home)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
19 Sept
TPS
0 : 3
Ilves
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lahti 25 10 6 9 30:24 36
8 Ilves 25 10 4 11 42:38 34
9 TPS 25 8 8 9 28:27 32
10 SJK 25 5 9 11 28:35 24
11 Mariehamn 25 4 5 16 20:47 17
12 Jaro 25 3 8 14 20:48 17
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)