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Millwall vs Derby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

Championship The Den, London
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

3' Event
Lisbie K.
Assist: Dykes L.
10' Event
Lisbie K.
Assist: Taylor C.
17' Event
Cundle L.
Assist: Neghli C.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Championship game between Millwall and Derby finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millwall.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Millwall
6%
Seri
4%
Derby
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Millwall

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Derby haven't matched Millwall's recent run of results.
  • Millwall are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
Millwall Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Derby Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Millwall Derby
Main 30 29
Menang 12 7
Seri 7 5
Kalah 11 17
Gol Masuk 1.3 1.1
Gol Kemasukan 1.2 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

31 Okt 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Derby
4:1
10 Mar 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Derby
1:0
10 Des 2025 Championship
Derby vs Millwall
1:1
22 Feb 2025 Championship
Derby vs Millwall
0:1
19 Okt 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Derby
1:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Millwall Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Lisbie K.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Cundle L.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.15
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.75

Derby Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Bilbija F.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.08
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.66

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Millwall 85 / 100
Derby 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Millwall Derby

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Millwall Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Derby let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Millwall found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Derby has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Millwall VS Derby
1.13 Gol Dicetak 0.75
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.88
63% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 38%
50% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
03 Nov
Birmingham
3 : 0
Millwall
31 Oct
Millwall
4 : 1
Derby
24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1
Millwall
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2
Lincoln City
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
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Derby

(Away)
03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4
Norwich
31 Oct
Millwall
4 : 1
Derby
24 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1
Derby
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1
Stoke City
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1
Derby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)