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Mushuc Runa vs Orense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Sen, 19 Okt 2026
VS
08.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Mushuc Runa host Orense in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Orense have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Mushuc Runa have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Orense slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20 Jul 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.88, favoring Mushuc Runa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Mushuc Runa
39%
Seri
31%
Orense
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Orense's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Mushuc Runa have produced (1.2).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 13%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 76.2%
Mushuc Runa Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Orense Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Mushuc Runa Orense
Main 30 29
Menang 9 9
Seri 10 4
Kalah 11 16
Gol Masuk 1.2 1.21
Gol Kemasukan 1.3 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20 Jul 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
2:1
19 Mar 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Mushuc Runa
3:2
14 Sep 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
17 Mei 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
2:5
6 Mar 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Mushuc Runa vs Orense
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 31 / 100
Orense 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Mushuc Runa Orense

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Mushuc Runa Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Orense conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Mushuc Runa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Mushuc Runa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Mushuc Runa VS Orense
1 Gol Dicetak 1.13
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.88
50% Atas 1.5 88%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
13% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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Orense

(Away)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)