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Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Jum, 16 Okt 2026
VS
12.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mara Sugar have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Nairobi United have conceded 1 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Nairobi United have won 2 to Mara Sugar's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 1 Apr 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.25, favoring Nairobi United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Nairobi United
20%
Seri
38%
Mara Sugar
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Nairobi United

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Nairobi United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nairobi United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 67.8%
Nairobi United Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Mara Sugar Tanpa Kebobolan 20%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Nairobi United Mara Sugar
Main 28 24
Menang 10 8
Seri 9 9
Kalah 9 7
Gol Masuk 1.18 0.96
Gol Kemasukan 1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

1 Apr 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
1:1
1 Okt 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United
0:1
1 Jun 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
2:1
2 Jun 2024 Super League
Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United
1:0
16 Des 2023 Super League
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar
0:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Nairobi United 42 / 100
Mara Sugar 38 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Nairobi United Mara Sugar

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Nairobi United scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nairobi United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mara Sugar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tren Skor

Nairobi United VS Mara Sugar
0.38 Gol Dicetak 0.25
0.25 Gol Kebobolan 0.38
13% Atas 1.5 13%
13% Atas 2.5 13%
13% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

Mara Sugar

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)