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Nejmeh SC vs Istiqlol Dushanbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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AFC Challenge League Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
02.00 PM
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

Nejmeh SC host Istiqlol Dushanbe in the AFC Challenge League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nejmeh SC have averaged 1.71 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Istiqlol Dushanbe's 2.14 scored and 0.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.56, favoring Istiqlol Dushanbe. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Nejmeh SC
40%
Seri
29%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Istiqlol Dushanbe come out ahead of Nejmeh SC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.6%
Nejmeh SC Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Tanpa Kebobolan 15%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Nejmeh SC Istiqlol Dushanbe
Main 28 29
Menang 16 19
Seri 7 5
Kalah 5 5
Gol Masuk 1.71 2.14
Gol Kemasukan 0.68 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 32 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Nejmeh SC Istiqlol Dushanbe

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Nejmeh SC scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Nejmeh SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Istiqlol Dushanbe let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Istiqlol Dushanbe has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Nejmeh SC VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1.75 Gol Dicetak 0.88
0.25 Gol Kebobolan 0.25
63% Atas 1.5 13%
25% Atas 2.5 13%
13% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)