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New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

12' Event
Rodriguez M.
(Penalti)
45'
Hurst G.
45'
Nava C.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Sacramento Republic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sacramento Republic.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
New Mexico
44%
Seri
20%
Sacramento Republic
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Sacramento Republic haven't matched New Mexico's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Sacramento Republic have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71%
New Mexico Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Sacramento Republic Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik New Mexico Sacramento Republic
Main 29 30
Menang 15 14
Seri 8 10
Kalah 6 6
Gol Masuk 1.66 1.5
Gol Kemasukan 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

27 Sep 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic
2:3
21 Jun 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico
0:1
31 Agu 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
9 Mar 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico
2:1
30 Sep 2024 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico
4:0

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

New Mexico Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Hurst G.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Archimede L.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.01
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.66

Sacramento Republic Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Rodriguez M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Edwards K.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.42
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.87

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

New Mexico 35 / 100
Sacramento Republic 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
New Mexico Sacramento Republic

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Sacramento Republic Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: New Mexico scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Sacramento Republic has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: New Mexico remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

New Mexico VS Sacramento Republic
1.63 Gol Dicetak 1.5
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1
75% Atas 1.5 63%
75% Atas 2.5 38%
38% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico

(Home)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Sacramento Republic

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0
San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0
Detroit City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
4 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)