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Newcastle Utd vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
04.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Newcastle Utd host Aston Villa in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Aston Villa have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Newcastle Utd have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Newcastle Utd have won 2 to Aston Villa's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 14 Feb 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back Aston Villa to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Newcastle Utd
30%
Seri
34%
Aston Villa
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Newcastle Utd

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Aston Villa have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 79%
Newcastle Utd Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Aston Villa Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Newcastle Utd Aston Villa
Main 30 29
Menang 11 14
Seri 5 3
Kalah 14 12
Gol Masuk 1.53 2
Gol Kemasukan 1.83 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14 Feb 2026 FA Cup
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Utd
1:3
25 Jan 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Aston Villa
0:2
16 Agu 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
19 Apr 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Utd
4:1
26 Des 2024 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Aston Villa
3:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 36 / 100
Aston Villa 33 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Newcastle Utd Aston Villa

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Aston Villa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Newcastle Utd VS Aston Villa
1.63 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.75
88% Atas 1.5 75%
75% Atas 2.5 75%
50% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)