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Pachuca vs Necaxa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Min, 11 Okt 2026
VS
11.15 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Pachuca host Necaxa in the Liga MX. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Necaxa have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Pachuca have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Pachuca slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4 Mar 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Pachuca. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Pachuca
6%
Seri
4%
Necaxa
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Pachuca

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca come out ahead of Necaxa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pachuca have taken 5 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 76.6%
Pachuca Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Necaxa Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Pachuca Necaxa
Main 30 29
Menang 14 9
Seri 6 6
Kalah 10 14
Gol Masuk 1.43 1.31
Gol Kemasukan 1.1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

4 Mar 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Necaxa
2:1
4 Okt 2025 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Pachuca
0:1
12 Apr 2025 Liga MX
Necaxa vs Pachuca
3:5
3 Nov 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Necaxa
6:2
6 Mei 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Necaxa
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Pachuca 85 / 100
Necaxa 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Pachuca Necaxa

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Pachuca Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Pachuca scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Necaxa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Pachuca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Pachuca VS Necaxa
1.63 Gol Dicetak 0.88
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.75
88% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa

(Away)
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4
Club America
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)