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Qarabag Agdam vs Neftci Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
03.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Qarabag Agdam host Neftci Baku in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Qarabag Agdam have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.05 conceded recently, against Neftci Baku's 2.13 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30 Apr 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.75) point toward Qarabag Agdam. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Qarabag Agdam
44%
Seri
20%
Neftci Baku
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Neftci Baku haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Qarabag Agdam have taken 4 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70.2%
Qarabag Agdam Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Neftci Baku Tanpa Kebobolan 15%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Qarabag Agdam Neftci Baku
Main 37 31
Menang 21 19
Seri 5 4
Kalah 11 8
Gol Masuk 1.97 2.13
Gol Kemasukan 1.05 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

30 Apr 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
2:1
26 Apr 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
1:5
9 Nov 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Neftci Baku
2:0
19 Apr 2025 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Neftci Baku
3:0
16 Feb 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 35 / 100
Neftci Baku 21 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Qarabag Agdam Neftci Baku

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Neftci Baku Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Qarabag Agdam scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Neftci Baku has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Qarabag Agdam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Qarabag Agdam VS Neftci Baku
1.38 Gol Dicetak 2.38
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 0.63
50% Atas 1.5 63%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
38% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam

(Home)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
Page 1 of 8

Neftci Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Sabah Baku 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
7 Kapaz 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)