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Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Magallanes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
03.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Recoleta host Magallanes in the Liga de Ascenso. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Magallanes have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Recoleta have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Recoleta have won 1 to Magallanes's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 16 Mei 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Magallanes to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Recoleta
39%
Seri
31%
Magallanes
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Magallanes lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Magallanes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Recoleta Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Magallanes Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Recoleta Magallanes
Main 29 29
Menang 10 11
Seri 10 7
Kalah 9 11
Gol Masuk 1.38 1.48
Gol Kemasukan 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

16 Mei 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Recoleta
3:2
13 Jul 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Magallanes
2:0
23 Mar 2025 Copa Chile
Magallanes vs Recoleta
2:0
22 Feb 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Recoleta
3:0
9 Feb 2025 Copa Chile
Recoleta vs Magallanes
0:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Recoleta 30 / 100
Magallanes 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Recoleta Magallanes

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Recoleta Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Recoleta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Recoleta's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Magallanes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Tren Skor

Recoleta VS Magallanes
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1.75
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
75% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
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Magallanes

(Away)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)