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Safa Baku vs Araz PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League ASK Arena, Baku
Sab, 7 Nov 2026
VS
04.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Safa Baku host Araz PFK in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Safa Baku at 1.31 goals for, 1.07 against; Araz PFK at 1.03 for, 1.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Safa Baku. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Safa Baku
39%
Seri
30%
Araz PFK
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.2%
Safa Baku Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Araz PFK Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Safa Baku Araz PFK
Main 29 29
Menang 12 8
Seri 8 4
Kalah 9 17
Gol Masuk 1.31 1.03
Gol Kemasukan 1.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Safa Baku 31 / 100
Araz PFK 29 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Safa Baku Araz PFK

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Araz PFK Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Safa Baku's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Araz PFK let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Araz PFK registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Safa Baku VS Araz PFK
0.5 Gol Dicetak 1.25
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.88
50% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
13% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Safa Baku

(Home)
11 Oct
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Turan
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

Araz PFK

(Away)
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
4 Turan 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
11 Safa Baku 7 1 0 6 2:12 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)