Prediksi Olahraga
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu 
Ringkasan Pertandingan
A one-off knockout match in the J.League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sagan Tosu at 1.59 goals for, 1.04 against; Avispa Fukuoka at 1.32 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Sagan Tosu have won 0 to Avispa Fukuoka's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on 28 Sep 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Sagan Tosu. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
42%
20%
38%
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Sagan Tosu
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
67%
/ Sedang Keyakinan
- Sagan Tosu carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Sagan Tosu taking it.
- Sagan Tosu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Avispa Fukuoka, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70.2%
Sagan Tosu Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Avispa Fukuoka Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Sagan Tosu | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 27 | 28 |
| Menang | 14 | 11 |
| Seri | 2 | 2 |
| Kalah | 11 | 15 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.59 | 1.32 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 1.04 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
28 Sep 2024 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
16 Jun 2024 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu
2:0
6 Agu 2023 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
14 Mei 2023 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu
0:0
26 Agu 2022 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka
1:1
Indeks Momentum SokaPicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Sagan Tosu 42 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 37 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Sagan Tosu Avispa Fukuoka
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Defensive concern: Avispa Fukuoka conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Sagan Tosu found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Avispa Fukuoka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Tren Skor
Sagan Tosu VS Avispa Fukuoka
1.13 Gol Dicetak 0.75
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
75% Atas 1.5 50%
50% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sagan Tosu
(Home) 04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
05 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26 Aug
Sagan Tosu
4 : 0 Toyama
22 Aug
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 3
Avispa Fukuoka
(Away) 07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1 Mito
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
22 Aug
Kashima Antlers
3 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
