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Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
05.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Sagan Tosu host Omiya Ardija in the J2 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sagan Tosu have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Omiya Ardija's 1.83 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Sagan Tosu slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21 Jun 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Sagan Tosu to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Sagan Tosu
33%
Seri
40%
Omiya Ardija
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Omiya Ardija

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Sagan Tosu come out ahead of Omiya Ardija on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Omiya Ardija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Sagan Tosu Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Omiya Ardija Tanpa Kebobolan 13%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Sagan Tosu Omiya Ardija
Main 29 29
Menang 15 12
Seri 2 6
Kalah 12 11
Gol Masuk 1.55 1.83
Gol Kemasukan 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

21 Jun 2025 J2 League
Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu
0:0
15 Mar 2025 J2 League
Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
1:0
19 Agu 2017 J1 League
Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija
3:0
4 Jun 2017 J1 League
Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu
1:1
25 Sep 2016 J1 League
Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu
1:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Sagan Tosu 28 / 100
Omiya Ardija 39 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Sagan Tosu Omiya Ardija

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Sagan Tosu scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sagan Tosu stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Sagan Tosu VS Omiya Ardija
0.88 Gol Dicetak 1.5
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 1.38
63% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 50%
13% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sagan Tosu

(Home)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija

(Away)
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
2 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
4 Omiya Ardija 9 4 5 0 17:8 17
5 Yokohama FC 9 5 2 2 18:11 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
10 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
15 Vanraure 9 3 1 5 5:14 10
16 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
17 Sagan Tosu 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
19 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
20 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)