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Santarem vs Vitoria Sernache - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem
Min, 25 Okt 2026
VS
03.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Santarem host Vitoria Sernache in the Liga 3. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Vitoria Sernache have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Santarem have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Santarem slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7 Apr 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Vitoria Sernache. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

60%
Santarem
22%
Seri
18%
Vitoria Sernache
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Santarem

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Vitoria Sernache carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Santarem are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Santarem have taken 3 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 67.8%
Santarem Tanpa Kebobolan 18%
Vitoria Sernache Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Santarem Vitoria Sernache
Main 29 29
Menang 8 13
Seri 10 9
Kalah 11 7
Gol Masuk 1.07 1.07
Gol Kemasukan 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

7 Apr 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs Vitoria Sernache
3:0
17 Des 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Santarem
0:2
5 Apr 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Santarem
0:0
1 Des 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs Vitoria Sernache
3:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Santarem 58 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 18 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Santarem Vitoria Sernache

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Santarem Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Santarem found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Santarem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vitoria Sernache lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Santarem VS Vitoria Sernache
1.38 Gol Dicetak 1.38
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 1.75
75% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 75%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
09 Oct
Santarem
3 : 0
Lusitano GC
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Sernache

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)