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Tapatio vs Atletico La Paz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Jum, 9 Okt 2026
VS
11.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Tapatio host Atletico La Paz in the Liga de Expansion MX. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Atletico La Paz have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Tapatio have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Tapatio slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10 Jan 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 2.19) back Atletico La Paz to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

18%
Tapatio
22%
Seri
60%
Atletico La Paz
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Atletico La Paz

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Tapatio lately — more wins on the board than Atletico La Paz.
  • Win probability leans Atletico La Paz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 62.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 28%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 75.8%
Tapatio Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Atletico La Paz Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Tapatio Atletico La Paz
Main 29 29
Menang 12 11
Seri 5 10
Kalah 12 8
Gol Masuk 1.9 1.69
Gol Kemasukan 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

10 Jan 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tapatio
2:2
3 Agu 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Atletico La Paz
2:0
1 Mar 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tapatio
4:1
15 Sep 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Atletico La Paz
1:0
2 Feb 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Atletico La Paz
0:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Tapatio 18 / 100
Atletico La Paz 56 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Tapatio Atletico La Paz

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Atletico La Paz Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Tapatio found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Atletico La Paz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Tapatio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Tapatio VS Atletico La Paz
2.13 Gol Dicetak 2.63
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
88% Atas 1.5 100%
75% Atas 2.5 75%
75% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tapatio

(Home)
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0
Tlaxcala
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1
Tapatio
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3
Leones Negros
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

Atletico La Paz

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Venados FC
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3
Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
2 Club Atletico Morelia 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
3 Atletico La Paz 11 6 2 3 24:13 20
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Tapatio 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
13 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
14 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 11 3 1 7 8:22 10
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)