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Trefelin vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
04.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Trefelin have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Llantwit Major's 1.44 scored and 1.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Trefelin slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28 Feb 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Trefelin. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

18%
Trefelin
22%
Seri
60%
Llantwit Major
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Llantwit Major

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Llantwit Major haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Llantwit Major a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Trefelin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trefelin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
Trefelin Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Llantwit Major Tanpa Kebobolan 16%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Trefelin Llantwit Major
Main 36 32
Menang 20 11
Seri 3 8
Kalah 13 13
Gol Masuk 2.03 1.44
Gol Kemasukan 1.67 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28 Feb 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
0:1
25 Agu 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
3:3
25 Jan 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
0:0
16 Agu 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
3:1
2 Mar 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
3:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Trefelin 19 / 100
Llantwit Major 57 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Trefelin Llantwit Major

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Llantwit Major Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Trefelin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Trefelin VS Llantwit Major
0.38 Gol Dicetak 0.88
2.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.5
88% Atas 1.5 63%
50% Atas 2.5 38%
38% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 8

Llantwit Major

(Away)
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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