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Turkey vs Italy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
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Acara Pertandingan

9' Event
Bastoni A.
22' Event
Frattesi D.
27' Event
Kayode M.
Assist: Esposito F.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Italy in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

4%
Turkey
6%
Seri
90%
Italy
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Italy

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Italy average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Turkey's 1.68.
  • Model gives Italy a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy have taken 4 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.2%
Turkey Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Italy Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Turkey Italy
Main 31 30
Menang 17 17
Seri 4 5
Kalah 10 8
Gol Masuk 1.68 1.83
Gol Kemasukan 1.35 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

5 Okt 2026 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Turkey
3:1
28 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Italy
1:4
4 Jun 2024 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
0:0
29 Mar 2022 Friendly International
Turkey vs Italy
2:3
11 Jun 2021 Euro
Turkey vs Italy
0:3

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Turkey Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Yilmaz B.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.06
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Italy Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Bastoni A.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Frattesi D.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.96
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.59

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Turkey 10 / 100
Italy 83 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Turkey Italy

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Italy Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Turkey scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Italy let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Turkey went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Turkey VS Italy
1.5 Gol Dicetak 1.38
0.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
63% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 38%
25% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
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Italy

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)