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Tusker vs Mara Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Jum, 2 Okt 2026
VS
12.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Tusker host Mara Sugar in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Tusker at 1 goals for, 0.74 against; Mara Sugar at 0.96 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Tusker slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2 Okt 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.94) point toward Tusker. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
Tusker
39%
Seri
31%
Mara Sugar
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Tusker come out ahead of Mara Sugar on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 12.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 6%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 65%
Tusker Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Mara Sugar Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Tusker Mara Sugar
Main 23 23
Menang 12 7
Seri 3 9
Kalah 8 7
Gol Masuk 1 0.96
Gol Kemasukan 0.74 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

2 Okt 2026 Premier League
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
0:0
24 Apr 2026 Premier League
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
0:1
29 Nov 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Tusker
0:1
6 Apr 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Tusker
1:1
27 Nov 2024 Premier League
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Tusker 31 / 100
Mara Sugar 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Tusker Mara Sugar

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Tusker Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Tusker's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Mara Sugar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Solid form: Tusker remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Mara Sugar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Tusker VS Mara Sugar
1.13 Gol Dicetak 0
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 0
63% Atas 1.5 0%
38% Atas 2.5 0%
25% Atas 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tusker

(Home)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3
Tusker
01 Aug
Tusker
2 : 0
KVZ
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 5

Mara Sugar

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)