Sport Picks
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nederland
Derde Divisie 
Kampsammendrag
The Derde Divisie game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Excelsior 31 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
9%
11%
80%
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Excelsior 31
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
93%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- ADO 20 Heemskerk have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — Excelsior 31 are scoring more at 1.93.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior 31 taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Rent bur 10%
Excelsior 31 Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | ADO 20 Heemskerk | Excelsior 31 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 5 |
| Tap | 11 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.55 | 1.93 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 2.44 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
10. okt. 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
3:1
14. mars 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0
11. okt. 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
2:0
8. aug. 2005 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior 31
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 74 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
ADO 20 Heemskerk Excelsior 31
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
ADO 20 Heemskerk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Excelsior 31 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Excelsior 31
1.63 Mål scoret 2.5
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Home) 10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior 31
(Away) 10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
