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Stadium Background

AEK vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Allwyn Arena, Athens
ons. 2. des. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Greek Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AEK have averaged 2.31 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Asteras Tripolis's 1.21 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor AEK slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 13. sep. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back AEK to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
AEK
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Asteras Tripolis
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: AEK

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Asteras Tripolis.
  • Model gives AEK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
AEK Rent bur 18%
Asteras Tripolis Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk AEK Asteras Tripolis
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 17 9
Uavgjort 8 11
Tap 4 8
Mål Scoret 2.31 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.9 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13. sep. 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK
1:1
24. jan. 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK
0:1
31. aug. 2025 Super League
AEK vs Asteras Tripolis
1:0
23. feb. 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK
0:3
9. nov. 2024 Super League
AEK vs Asteras Tripolis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

AEK 40 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
AEK Asteras Tripolis

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips AEK Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: AEK scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Asteras Tripolis conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AEK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

AEK VS Asteras Tripolis
2.13 Mål scoret 1.25
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
24 Oct
AEK
5 : 0
Panetolikos
20 Oct
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0
OFI Crete
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
24 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Levadiakos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
11 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)