Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penybont have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Afan Lido have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Afan Lido have won 1 to Penybont's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 21. juni 2025, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.94, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 60%.
- Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Afan Lido | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 34 | 29 |
| Seire | 15 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 5 |
| Tap | 16 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.74 | 1.17 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Afan Lido scored in 71% of their last 34 games.
Penybont has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.