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Afan Lido vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penybont have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Afan Lido have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Afan Lido have won 1 to Penybont's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 21. juni 2025, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.94, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Afan Lido
22%
Uavgjort
60%
Penybont
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Penybont

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Afan Lido Rent bur 10%
Penybont Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Afan Lido Penybont
Kamper Spilt 34 29
Seire 15 14
Uavgjort 3 5
Tap 16 10
Mål Scoret 1.62 1.28
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.74 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. juni 2025 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Afan Lido
7:0
23. juli 2024 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Afan Lido
6:0
4. aug. 2023 League Cup
Penybont vs Afan Lido
1:2
12. jan. 2019 Division 1
Penybont vs Afan Lido
3:3
22. sep. 2018 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Penybont
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Afan Lido 18 / 100
Penybont 57 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Afan Lido Penybont

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Penybont Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Afan Lido scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Penybont has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Afan Lido VS Penybont
1.13 Mål scoret 2.13
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

Penybont

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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