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Ahal vs Paro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Ahal host Paro in the AFC Challenge League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Paro have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Ahal have conceded 1.18 and scored 2.21. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.94, favoring Paro. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Ahal
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Paro
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Paro

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Paro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.2%
Ahal Rent bur 10%
Paro Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Ahal Paro
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 17 21
Uavgjort 3 3
Tap 8 4
Mål Scoret 2.21 4.11
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.18 0.96
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 2.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Ahal 10 / 100
Paro 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Ahal Paro

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Paro Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Ahal scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Paro conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ahal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Ahal VS Paro
2.13 Mål scoret 4.38
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahal

(Home)
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
Page 1 of 6

Paro

(Away)
08 Oct
Thimphu City
0 : 2
Paro
03 Oct
Paro
6 : 0
BFF Academy U19
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)