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Al Ahli SC vs Al Gharafa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
man. 26. okt. 2026
VS
04:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Al Ahli SC host Al Gharafa in the AFC Champions League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Ahli SC have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Al Gharafa's 1.43 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20. okt. 2025, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.44) back Al Ahli SC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Al Ahli SC
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Al Gharafa
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Al Ahli SC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Al Gharafa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ahli SC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Al Ahli SC Rent bur 16%
Al Gharafa Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Al Ahli SC Al Gharafa
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 16 8
Uavgjort 4 4
Tap 9 16
Mål Scoret 1.9 1.43
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.28 2.07
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. okt. 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Gharafa
4:0
17. feb. 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Gharafa
4:2
26. juli 2024 Club Friendly
Al Ahli SC vs Al Gharafa
1:0
13. mars 2018 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Gharafa
1:1
5. mars 2018 AFC Champions League
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli SC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 66 / 100
Al Gharafa 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Al Ahli SC Al Gharafa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Al Ahli SC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Gharafa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Ahli SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Al Ahli SC VS Al Gharafa
1.75 Mål scoret 1.25
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Gharafa

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)