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Alianza FC vs Marathon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza FC at 1.31 goals for, 1.35 against; Marathon at 1.18 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Alianza FC slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 20. aug. 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Marathon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Alianza FC
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Marathon
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Marathon come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Marathon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Alianza FC Rent bur 20%
Marathon Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Alianza FC Marathon
Kamper Spilt 26 28
Seire 9 12
Uavgjort 10 7
Tap 7 9
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.35 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. aug. 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Marathon vs Alianza FC
0:1
28. aug. 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Marathon vs Alianza FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Alianza FC 31 / 100
Marathon 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Alianza FC Marathon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Alianza FC Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Alianza FC scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Alianza FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Marathon has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Alianza FC VS Marathon
1.38 Mål scoret 1
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Cacahuatique
0 : 0
Alianza FC
11 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
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Marathon

(Away)
15 Oct
Marathon
2 : 1
Olancho
11 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 0
Marathon
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Alianza FC -
Marathon -
Saprissa -
Luis Angel Firpo -