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Stadium Background

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
søn. 25. okt. 2026
VS
06:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Almirante Brown host Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Almirante Brown have averaged 0.83 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Deportivo Moron's 1.45 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Moron slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7. juni 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Deportivo Moron. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Almirante Brown
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Deportivo Moron
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Almirante Brown

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Deportivo Moron carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Almirante Brown a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 63%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Almirante Brown Rent bur 68%
Deportivo Moron Rent bur 15%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 10 14
Uavgjort 10 5
Tap 9 10
Mål Scoret 0.83 1.45
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.72 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

7. juni 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
1:0
14. juni 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
2:0
9. feb. 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1
25. aug. 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
0:1
6. apr. 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Almirante Brown 50 / 100
Deportivo Moron 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Almirante Brown Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Deportivo Moron registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Almirante Brown's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Måltrender

Almirante Brown VS Deportivo Moron
0.75 Mål scoret 1.5
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)
17 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
2 : 2
Almirante Brown
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1
San Miguel
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)