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Arda vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali
man. 2. nov. 2026
VS
05:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Arda host Septemvri Sofia in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Septemvri Sofia have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Arda have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Arda have won 2 to Septemvri Sofia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 18. juli 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Arda to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Arda
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Septemvri Sofia
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Arda have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Arda Rent bur 20%
Septemvri Sofia Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Arda Septemvri Sofia
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 13 9
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 12 12
Mål Scoret 1.23 1.1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.33 1.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. juli 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
1:1
21. mars 2026 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
1:4
20. okt. 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Septemvri Sofia
0:1
8. juli 2025 Club Friendly
Arda vs Septemvri Sofia
1:2
7. apr. 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Arda 36 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Arda Septemvri Sofia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Septemvri Sofia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Away concern: Septemvri Sofia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Septemvri Sofia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Måltrender

Arda VS Septemvri Sofia
1.5 Mål scoret 0.75
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
18 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 2
Arda
12 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Arda
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)