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Aston Villa vs Manchester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Villa Park, Birmingham
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Aston Villa host Manchester City in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Aston Villa at 1.94 goals for, 1.48 against; Manchester City at 2.18 for, 0.96 against. Head-to-head, Aston Villa have won 3 to Manchester City's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 24. mai 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Manchester City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Aston Villa
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Manchester City
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Aston Villa haven't matched Manchester City's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Aston Villa Rent bur 10%
Manchester City Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aston Villa Manchester City
Kamper Spilt 31 28
Seire 14 20
Uavgjort 5 3
Tap 12 5
Mål Scoret 1.94 2.18
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 0.96
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. mai 2026 Premier League
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
1:2
26. okt. 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
1:0
22. apr. 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
2:1
21. des. 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
2:1
3. apr. 2024 Premier League
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aston Villa 34 / 100
Manchester City 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aston Villa Manchester City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Manchester City Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aston Villa's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aston Villa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Manchester City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Måltrender

Aston Villa VS Manchester City
1.88 Mål scoret 2.5
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa

(Home)
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Brentford
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
Page 1 of 7

Manchester City

(Away)
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0
Norwich
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1
Manchester City
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2
Manchester City
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0
Coventry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
6 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
7 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
9 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
10 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
12 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
18 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
19 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)