Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
Baglan Dragons host Aberystwyth in the Cymru South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Aberystwyth have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Baglan Dragons have conceded 1.81 and scored 0.77. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 0 to Aberystwyth's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 7. feb. 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Aberystwyth to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Baglan Dragons | Aberystwyth |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 28 |
| Seire | 8 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 4 |
| Tap | 17 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.77 | 1.54 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.81 | 1.29 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Aberystwyth conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Baglan Dragons stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Baglan Dragons's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Aberystwyth
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |